Current Data and Recent Trends India’s unemployment rate rose to 5.6% in May 2025, up from 5.1% in April, according to the latest Periodic Labour Force Survey (PLFS) released by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation. The increase was broad-based, affecting both rural and urban areas, with a sharper rise among youth and women. Rural unemployment: 5.4% in May Urban unemployment: 5.9% in May Youth (15–29 years): 13.7% in rural, 17.9% in urban areas in May Female unemployment: 5.8% in May, higher than men’s 5.6% Past Trends April 2025: Unemployment rate was 5.1% May 2025: Rose sharply to 5.6% Historical context: Unemployment rates in India typically rise in the months following major harvests due to seasonal rural job losses. The new monthly PLFS data now makes this trend more visible Key Drivers Seasonal Impact: The end of the Rabi harvest season led to a drop in farm jobs, pushing up rural unemployment. Shift in Employment: There was a notable movement of rural workers from agriculture to manufacturing and services as agricultural activity declined post-harvest. Manufacturing Slowdown: India’s manufacturing growth slowed to a three-month low in May, with weaker demand amid rising prices and global uncertainties, further affecting job creation How the Unemployment Rate Is Calculated The unemployment rate is calculated using the Current Weekly Status (CWS) approach of the PLFS. It measures the percentage of people aged 15 and above who were not working but were seeking or available for work during the reference week. The survey’s expanded sample size (now 22,000 households) and adoption of digital data collection aim to improve accuracy and timeliness

Will the unemployment rate of India be 5.5% or more in June?  

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Unemployment rate in May

Please note that while the information is based on historical trends and may not reflect the most current developments, we strongly advise all users to consult the latest information and assess the current situation before engaging in any trading related to the event.

TIME- The event will expire at 12:00 AM on 17 July 2025 as per the estimated time of release of the report. The event will be extended in case the reports are not published. SETTLEMENT- The event will be settled within 24 hours of expiry. RULE- 1. The event will be settled at 'Yes' only if, the unemployment rate of India is equal or above the mentioned %. 2. Only the mentioned source of truth will be considered for the settlement. 3. Check Unemployment Rate (UR) in CWS among persons of age 15 years and above under the Press note of the report.