What if your knowledge of cricket, politics, or even news could turn into real-world rewards? What if thinking smarter, staying updated, and predicting outcomes wasn’t just fun but worthwhile as well?
That’s the world Probo opens up. A world where your curiosity becomes your currency, and your understanding of the world becomes your edge. But as platforms like Probo grow, so does the confusion around them. Some ask, isn’t this just gambling with a new name?
Let’s clear that up. This article walks you through the difference between skill gaming and gambling, and shows why Probo is a skill-based platform where decisions are driven by knowledge and not chance.
What is skill gaming?
Skill gaming are games where success depends on your ability, strategy, knowledge, and judgment and not just a roll of dice or a spin of the wheel. Think chess, rummy, fantasy cricket or opinion trading on Probo. If you’re good at analyzing, staying informed, and making decisions based on real-world data, you win. That’s skill gaming.
What is gambling?
Gambling is when you risk money on outcomes that are mostly, or entirely, based on chance. Slot machines, roulette, teen patti, or lottery tickets fall into this category. No matter how smart you are, the house always has an edge. You can’t out-think a roulette wheel. In gambling, the game is often designed so that you can’t influence the result. And over time, the odds are stacked against you.
What is opinion trading?
Now here’s where Probo comes in. Probo is an opinion trading platform where users can trade on the outcomes of real-world events. Will India win the next T20 World Cup? Will Sensex close above 75,000 this month? Will a particular policy be announced before the Lok Sabha elections? Each of these is a yes/no question, but answering it well requires skill. Probo doesn’t reward random guesses. It rewards analysis, awareness, and decision-making. It’s like the stock market, but instead of buying shares of a company, you’re buying into an idea.
Three clear signs Probo is skill-based and not chance-based
- Better players perform better consistently
On Probo, the top users aren’t lucky, they’re informed. For example, a user who follows Indian politics, tracks poll surveys, understands campaign trends, and reads daily news will have a strong edge when taking positions on election-related events. We studied Probo data by teaming up with Professor Amitabha Bagchi, IIT Delhi, and found that users who stay active and informed outperform casual or random players by a wide margin. And this performance is repeatable over time. Unlike gambling, where everyone has the same random chance, opinion trading creates a clear gap between experienced and inexperienced users.
- There’s a learning curve
Beginners often start by taking basic positions. But over time, as they learn to read signals better, be it in sports, finance, or entertainment, they get better. We’ve seen that users who’ve placed more trades, read more news, and studied past outcomes tend to make more accurate calls. In short, the more you play, the better you get. Just like any other skill-based game.
- Decisions are backed by research and real-world knowledge
Gambling is about luck. Skill gaming is about learning. Let’s say there’s a question on Probo about a cricket match. Will Virat Kohli score a half-century in the next match? Now imagine two users. User A doesn’t follow cricket and chooses randomly. User B knows the pitch conditions, Kohli’s recent form, the opposition’s bowling strength, and weather forecast. Who’s likely to make the smarter trade? Obviously, User B. Probo is filled with such real-life events, where the more you know, the better you perform.
Want to dive deeper? Check out our next piece on How Skill-Based Gaming Apps Are Shaping the Future of Entertainment
What Indian law says about skill vs chance
The Supreme Court of India has made it clear that games where skill predominates over chance are not gambling. In 1968, the Court ruled that rummy is a game of skill. In 1996, it ruled that horse racing requires judgment and analysis. In 2017, the High Court of Punjab & Haryana declared fantasy cricket legal and skill-based. Opinion trading fits squarely into that tradition. Like fantasy sports or stock trading, opinion trading involves real-world knowledge, strategy, and thoughtful decisions.
But what about the money? This is where many people get confused. Just because a game involves money doesn’t make it gambling. We spend money on movie tickets, IPL matches, or learning apps because they provide value or entertainment. Skill gaming is no different. It’s a form of digital entertainment where success depends on your insight and intelligence. Probo simply offers a platform for users to put their knowledge to test and earn if they’re right. And just like the stock market, users can choose to exit early if they feel a position has become risky or profitable.
Up next: The Skill Behind Opinion Trading, a deep dive into why it’s more strategy than guesswork.
Let’s not confuse innovation with gambling
It’s time we gave skill gaming the respect it deserves. Just because it’s new doesn’t make it wrong. Opinion trading is skill-based, and transparent. It’s the natural next step in how we engage with information in the digital age. Instead of pushing it into a gray area, let’s regulate it the right way. Let’s make it safer, smarter, and more accessible. Let’s make sure users are protected and informed, because that’s what they already are.
Curious to explore more? Download the Probo app and start turning your insights into opportunities today!